By Staff
This year’s upcoming election is something that has been weighing heavily on most Americans’ minds. Taking place in November, the 2024 election has two main candidates, Joe Biden and Donald Trump. With both candidates running for their second term much of America is extremely divided between the democratic and republican candidates. With a poll taken by the Pew Research Center showing a virtual tie with 49% of registered voters leaving towards Trump and 48% leaning towards Biden. Considering the almost 50/50 divide the outcome of the election is almost unpredictable, leaving Americans to wonder what will be the deciding factors in the upcoming election.
Though Trump may have a slight lead at the moment, his support is dropping. Some believe this is due to the two separate trials he is involved in currently. Trump’s constant involvement in court trials and his frequent accusations of illegal activities has caused his support to drop in the past. Currently, Trump’s support from voters under the age of 35 along with Hispanic voters has dropped. The decrease in support for Trump from this specific demographic has meant an increase in support for Biden with voters under the age of 35. While Trump’s involvement in the current trials may have shifted the opinions of a small section of voters, overall most republicans’ support has not shifted. From numerous polls taken by YouGov/The Economist it’s shown that the majority of Americans are not following Trump’s trial closely or even at all, meaning most of Americans’ opinions regarding their support for Trump were formed beforehand.
Another deciding factor in the November presidential election is Biden’s accomplishments in office over the past four years. While Biden kicked his presidency off strong with the circulation of the COVID-19 vaccines, since then his approval ratings have dropped drastically. With 37% of Americans approving of Biden’s job performance and 57% disapproving, Biden is well below the historically associated level for reelection. Biden’s decline in support is largely due to his actions in office. With many Americans feeling as if Biden has done nothing but broken promises regarding his policies he claimed to push for. From insufficient moves to address climate change, his inability to fully cancel student loan debt along with the overturning of Roe v. Wade, many former supporters are very disappointed.
With many American voters being drastically divided between the two main candidates along with a large disdain for both candidates, the Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. may have the ability to sway the election. In recent polling’s it was found that Kennedys name on the ballot could cause more harm to Trump’s campaign compared to Biden’s. This is because about 15% of republican voters prefer Kennedy to Biden when given the choice between the three candidates.
Overall it’s difficult to predict this year’s election. With a virtual tie between the republicans and democrats two major candidates along with the American voters’ overall dislike for both candidates, the 2024 presidential election could go either way. There are many wildcards that could affect the outcome of this election as well, the outcome of Trump’s trials, Biden’s actions during his final days in office, along with growing support for the independent candidate Kennedy Jr. No matter what this will be an election with many ups and downs and will remain closed until the day of elections in November.
beniciapaw.com 